🍩 Database of Original & Non-Theoretical Uses of Topology
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A Machine-Learning-Based Early Warning System Boosted by Topological Data Analysis (2019)
Devraj Basu, Tieqiang LiAbstract
We propose a novel early warning system for detecting financial market crashes that utilizes the information extracted from the shape of financial market movement. Our system incorporates Topological Data Analysis (TDA), a new set of data analytics techniques specialised in profiling the shape of data, into a more traditional machine learning framework. Incorporating TDA leads to substantial improvements in timely detecting the onset of a sharp market decline. Our framework is both able to generate new features and also unlock more value from existing factors. Our results illustrate the importance of understanding the shape of financial market data and suggest that incorporating TDA into a machine learning framework could be beneficial in a number of financial market settings. -
Some Applications of TDA on Financial Markets (2022)
Miguel Angel Ruiz-Ortiz, José Carlos Gómez-Larrañaga, Jesús Rodríguez-VioratoAbstract
The Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has had many applications. However, financial markets has been studied slightly through TDA. Here we present a quick review of some recent applications of TDA on financial markets and propose a new turbulence index based on persistent homology -- the fundamental tool for TDA -- that seems to capture critical transitions on financial data, based on our experiment with SP500 data before 2020 stock market crash in February 20, 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. We review applications in the early detection of turbulence periods in financial markets and how TDA can help to get new insights while investing and obtain superior risk-adjusted returns compared with investing strategies using classical turbulence indices as VIX and the Chow's index based on the Mahalanobis distance. Furthermore, we include an introduction to persistent homology so the reader could be able to understand this paper without knowing TDA.